Shanghai Composite Smashes 3500: Inside the Rally Fueled by Finance, AI, and “Anti-Competition” Talk

Key Points

  • The Shanghai Composite Index (Shangzheng 指数) surpassed 3500 points, closing at 3507.69 points with a +0.29% gain, a significant milestone for the A-share market.
  • Total half-day turnover reached a massive ¥955.3 billion RMB ($131.7 billion USD), indicating high capital movement despite more declining stocks than advancing ones.
  • Key sectors driving gains included Diversified Finance (+3.33%) and AI Corpuses & Kimi AI Concept Stocks.
  • A major market narrative is the “anti-internal competition” (“anti-involution”) trend, focusing on pushing industries like Photovoltaics and Steel to improve quality over destructive price wars.
  • Institutional analyses highlight opportunities in consumer staples (snacks, beverages), the third uranium bull market, and the benefits for leading companies from anti-competition measures and new policies like EV charging infrastructure.
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China’s Shanghai Composite Index (Shangzheng 指数) just blew past the critical 3500-point milestone today, marking a significant moment for the A-share market.

In a session buzzing with activity, all three major indices posted gains, but the real story is in the sectors driving the momentum and the macro-level chatter that has investors talking.

Let’s break down what’s happening on the ground.

The Midday Market Snapshot: July 9, 2025

Midday Performance of Major Chinese Stock Indices
IndexClose PriceGain/LossPercentage Change
Shanghai Composite Index3507.69+10.0+0.29%
Shenzhen Component Index10626.87+37.7+0.36%
ChiNext Index2198.44+17.5+0.80%
STAR Market 50 Index988.50-3.5-0.35%
Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index1423.32+2.3+0.16%

Here’s the lowdown on where the major indices stood at the midday close:

  • The Shanghai Composite Index (Shangzheng Zhiishu 沪指) popped +0.29% to hit 3507.69 points.
  • The Shenzhen Component Index (Shenzheng Chengzhǐ 深证成指) climbed +0.36% to 10626.87 points.
  • The ChiNext Index (Chuàngyèbǎn Zhǐ 创业板指) led the pack with a +0.80% gain, closing at 2198.44 points.
  • The STAR Market 50 Index (Kechuang 50 Zhǐ 科创50指数) dipped slightly by -0.35% to 988.50 points.
  • The Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index (Beizheng 50 Zhǐ 北证50指数) edged up +0.16% to 1423.32 points.

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The Big Picture: Market Breadth & Turnover

A-Share Market Breadth (Midday)
  • Advancing Stocks: 2,083
  • Declining Stocks: 3,057
  • Limit-Up Stocks: 46
Midday Market Turnover
  • Total Turnover (RMB): ¥955.3 billion
  • Total Turnover (USD): $131.7 billion

It wasn’t a universal win, though.

Across both the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges, more stocks fell than rose.

  • Advancing Stocks: 2,083
  • Declining Stocks: 3,057
  • Limit-Up Stocks: 46 hit their daily maximum.

The total half-day turnover was a massive ¥955.3 billion RMB ($131.7 billion USD), showing a ton of capital is moving around.

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Who’s Winning? Today’s Hottest Industries

Top Performing Sectors (Midday)
Sector
Diversified Finance
Childcare Services
AI Corpuses & Kimi AI Concept Stocks
Digital Reading
Short-Drama Interactive Games
Cement & Building Materials
Virtual Robotics
Bottom Performing Sectors (Midday)
Sector
Minor Metals
PVDF Concepts
Precious Metals
Organosilicon & Fluorochemicals
Insurance

The gains were concentrated in some fascinating, future-focused sectors.

Here’s the winner’s circle:

  • Diversified Finance
  • Childcare Services
  • AI Corpuses & Kimi AI Concept Stocks
  • Digital Reading
  • Short-Drama Interactive Games
  • Cement & Building Materials
  • Virtual Robotics

And the sectors feeling the pain:

  • Minor Metals
  • PVDF Concepts
  • Precious Metals
  • Organosilicon & Fluorochemicals
  • Insurance

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Deep Dive: The Day’s Top Sector Movers

Top Sector Movers and Standout Performers
SectorOverall GainStandout PerformerPerformer Gain
Diversified Finance+3.33%Yuexiu Capital+10.06%
Engineering Consulting Services+1.85%New City+20.03%

Two industries, in particular, stood out with powerful gains across the board.

1. Diversified Finance (Duoyuan Jinrong 多元金融)

  • Overall Sector Gain: +3.33%
  • Standout Performer: Yuexiu Capital (Yuèxiù Zīběn 越秀资本) skyrocketed by 10.06%.

2. Engineering Consulting Services (Gōngchéng Zīxún Fúwù 工程咨询服务)

  • Overall Sector Gain: +1.85%
  • Standout Performer: New City (Xīnchéngshì 新城市) surged an incredible 20.03%.

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The Macro Buzz: 5 Big Stories Moving the Needle

China’s Latest Inflation Data (June 2025)
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI): +0.1% year-over-year
  • Producer Price Index (PPI): -3.6% year-over-year

So, what’s causing all this action? Here are the major headlines and economic data points traders are watching.

U.S.-China Trade Talks on the Horizon

U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed a U.S. delegation will meet with Chinese officials in August for trade discussions. The delegation includes heavy-hitters like Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamison Greer. All eyes are on this.

China’s Latest Inflation Data Is In

The National Bureau of Statistics dropped June 2025 numbers. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose a slight 0.1% year-over-year, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell 3.6%. This suggests weak factory gate prices but stable consumer costs, a mixed bag for the economy.

Trump Talks Tariffs and Rate Cuts

U.S. President Trump hinted at more interest rate cuts from the Fed, sanctions on Russia, and potential high tariffs on key imports like copper and pharmaceuticals. His comments always create ripples in global markets.

The “Anti-Internal Competition” Craze

This is the new buzzword in Chinese finance. At least 23 brokerage firms have published reports on “anti-internal competition” (or “anti-involution”), analyzing which industries will benefit as companies are pushed to stop value-destroying price wars and focus on quality. This is a massive narrative shift.

Photovoltaics Industry Battles Price Wars

Speaking of which, the Photovoltaics (PV) industry is ground zero for this discussion. The government is cracking down on low-price, disorderly competition. At a recent symposium, industry leaders discussed self-rescuing by cutting production to stabilize the market. This is a major theme for manufacturing sectors.

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What the Pros Are Saying: Big Bank Breakdowns

Top institutional players have weighed in with their analysis. Here’s what they think you should know.

Citic Securities (中信证券) on Consumer Staples

Citic notes that while consumer demand was weak in Q2, creating fierce “internal competition,” there are still bright spots. They see structural opportunities in:

  • Snacks: Representing new consumer habits.
  • Beverages: High demand for tea and functional drinks.
  • Dairy: Profitability is bottoming out and set to improve.

China Securities (中信建投) on Uranium

They’re calling it: the third uranium bull market is here and will be long-lasting. Why? A global push for nuclear energy (driven by carbon neutrality goals and the AI power crunch) is creating stable, rising demand. Meanwhile, mine supply is tight, making prices “prone to rise and difficult to fall.”

China Galaxy Securities (中国银河证券) on Steel

The “anti-internal competition” measures are coming for the steel industry. This will likely force supply-side reforms and capacity control. The firm believes leading steel companies will be the primary beneficiaries as industry dynamics improve.

Huatai Securities (华泰证券) on EV Charging

New government policies are pushing for the construction of high-power EV charging facilities. Huatai believes this will accelerate product upgrades, boost profitability for equipment makers, and improve efficiency for operators. They recommend keeping an eye on leading charging pile and operating companies.

CICC (中金公司) on New Consumer Trends

CICC expects demand in the food and beverage sector to stabilize and improve. They’re bullish on “new consumer targets” maintaining high growth. Specifically, they see continued strength in spicy snacks, healthy beverages, and sparkling yellow wine. They also note that while white liquor (Baijiu 白酒) has taken a hit, its valuation is starting to look attractive again.

Guangfa Securities (广发证券) on Market Strategy

Guangfa sees the current market as an index-driven game led by Banking, Healthcare, and Computing Power stocks. They suggest two approaches for investors: 1) ride the trend with these sectors, or 2) play the rotation into sectors like electricity (high temps), basic metals (copper, aluminum), and stablecoins.

The Bottom Line

Today’s market action shows a China A-share market in flux. The breach of the 3500 level is a bullish psychological signal, but the real story is the underlying current of change, driven by everything from AI speculation to a government-backed push to end destructive price wars.

As these trends develop, keeping an eye on sector performance and institutional analysis will be key to navigating the opportunities within the Shanghai Composite Index and the broader Chinese markets.


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