Key Points
- The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is conducting an ¥800 billion RMB ($110.42 billion USD) outright reverse repo operation with a 3-month term, marking the first upsized renewal in nearly four months for this tool.
- This operation results in a net injection of ¥100 billion RMB ($13.80 billion USD), aiming to provide mid-term liquidity to the system ahead of the Spring Festival.
- The liquidity injection is crucial due to February’s unique challenges, including the Spring Festival holiday cash withdrawals, peak bank lending season, and significant government bond issuance, which Sinolink Securities estimates could lead to a ¥200 billion RMB ($27.61 billion USD) rise in net financing for government bonds compared to January.
- The PBOC is using a selective approach to liquidity injection, employing multiple tools (like MLF and reverse repos) to manage the maturity structure of liquidity rather than broad-based RRR or interest rate cuts.
- For Chinese tech and startups, this policy means liquidity will remain available, mid-term credit access is improving, but capital will be preferentially directed towards policy-aligned sectors, with no immediate expectation of dramatic rate cuts.

The People’s Bank of China (Zhongguo Renmin Yinhang 中国人民银行) just announced a major liquidity move that’s worth paying attention to if you’re tracking Chinese markets, fintech, or startup funding flows.
On February 4, they’re conducting an ¥800 billion RMB ($110.42 billion USD) outright reverse repo operation—and here’s the kicker: this marks the first upsized renewal in nearly four months for this specific tool.
Translation? The central bank is pumping mid-term liquidity into the system ahead of Spring Festival, and it tells us something important about how China’s monetary policy is evolving in 2026.
What’s Actually Happening With This ¥800 Billion Move?
Let’s break down the mechanics, because this matters more than you might think.
The PBOC will execute this operation through a fixed-quantity, rate-tender, multi-price-match process with a 3-month (91-day) term.
Here’s the real story:
- ¥700 billion RMB ($96.62 billion USD) in 3-month reverse repos are maturing in February
- The new ¥800 billion RMB ($110.42 billion USD) operation represents a net injection of ¥100 billion RMB ($13.80 billion USD)
- This is the first time they’ve upsized this particular maturity since late 2024
So while the headline number is big, the actual net liquidity increase is more measured—but meaningful.
Why does this matter?
Because it signals the central bank is being selective about how it injects liquidity, rather than going for broad-brush cuts to reserve requirements or interest rates.
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Spring Festival Cash Crunch Meets Peak Credit Lending Season
February is a perfect storm for liquidity stress in China’s financial system.
Here’s what’s colliding:
- Spring Festival holiday — people withdraw cash for celebrations, family gifts, and travel
- Peak bank lending season — February is when banks are actively deploying credit for the year ahead
- Government bond issuance — local governments are actively issuing debt throughout the month
- Fewer working days — the holiday compresses the issuance schedule, making it more concentrated
Dong Ximiao (Dong Ximiao 董希淼), Chief Economist at Zhoulian (Zhoulian 招联) and Deputy Director of the Shanghai Federation of Social Science Associations, told Cailianshe (财联社) that February is a peak period for bank credit, which—combined with holiday cash requirements—spikes liquidity demand across the entire system.
This isn’t just theoretical.
A research report from Sinolink Securities (Guojin Zhengquan 国金证券) flagged that net financing for government bonds in February may rise by ¥200 billion RMB ($27.61 billion USD) compared to January figures.
The compressed issuance schedule means banks and financial institutions need access to liquidity faster and in larger tranches.
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Government Debt + New Policy Tools = Massive First-Quarter Lending Pipeline
There’s another layer here that’s driving the PBOC’s move.
Wang Qing (Wang Qing 王青), Chief Macro Analyst at Golden Credit Rating (Dongfang Jincheng 东方金诚), explained that 2026 local government debt quotas were issued early to protect funding for key projects.
This means:
- Government bond issuance will remain significant even during the Spring Festival holiday
- The ¥500 billion RMB ($69.01 billion USD) in new policy financial tools deployed in October 2025 will drive a large scale of supporting loans in Q1
- Banks need liquidity access to fund these policy-backed lending programs
Translation: the central bank isn’t just smoothing temporary cash flows.
It’s ensuring the financial system has enough fuel to deploy the government’s policy agenda in the first quarter.
For startups and tech companies, this could mean better availability of credit lines, easier refinancing, and more aggressive lending from banks looking to deploy capital into policy-aligned initiatives.
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How the PBOC Managed Liquidity in January (The Full Toolkit)
To understand where we’re headed, it helps to see what the central bank actually did in January 2026.
Here’s the complete breakdown of their monetary policy operations:
- Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF): Net injection of ¥700 billion RMB ($96.62 billion USD)
- Standing Lending Facility (SLF): Net withdrawal of ¥7.9 billion RMB ($1.09 billion USD)
- Structural Monetary Policy Tools: Net injection of ¥64.1 billion RMB ($8.85 billion USD)
- Open Market Treasury Bond Trading: Net injection of ¥100 billion RMB ($13.80 billion USD)
- 7-Day Reverse Repo: Net injection of ¥167.8 billion RMB ($23.16 billion USD)
Notice something?
They’re using multiple tools across multiple timeframes rather than just cranking one lever.
The ¥900 billion RMB ($124.23 billion USD) MLF operation on January 23 was particularly important—it signaled that the central bank is actively managing the maturity structure of liquidity, not just the total quantity.
Dong Ximiao noted that these actions have “effectively smoothed the transition into the new year and improved the maturity structure of market liquidity.”
Translation: banks aren’t just drowning in short-term cash.
They have access to longer-dated liquidity that lets them plan and deploy capital strategically.

So Is an RRR Cut Coming? (The Short Answer: Not Immediately)
This is the question everyone’s asking.
The short answer: don’t expect a Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) cut in the immediate term, despite the PBOC’s earlier signals that there’s “room” for both RRR and interest rate cuts in 2026.
Here’s why:
Wen Bin (Wen Bin 温彬), Chief Economist at China Minsheng Bank (Minsheng Yinhang 民生银行), told analysts that “the probability of immediate implementation has decreased.”
The fundamental shift in 2026 policy is this:
- Old approach: Steadily lower financing costs through broad monetary easing
- New approach: Maintain financing costs at a “low level” and focus on improving the efficiency of existing policies
What does that mean in practice?
The PBOC is deploying structural tools like Pledged Supplemental Lending (PSL) to target specific sectors and policy priorities.
They’re going to observe how those tools perform before deploying broad-based cuts to reserve requirements or interest rates.
Wang Qing concluded that the central bank will likely continue using a combination of MLF and outright reverse repos to provide mid-term liquidity rather than pursuing aggressive rate cuts.
With ¥800 billion RMB ($110.42 billion USD) in combined maturities later in February, experts expect further upsized renewals rather than a broad-based rate or ratio cut in the near term.

What This Means for Chinese Tech, Startups, and Investors
If you’re paying attention to funding flows and capital availability in China, here’s what matters:
- Liquidity will remain available — The PBOC is actively smoothing cash flows, not tightening
- Mid-term credit access is improving — The focus on 3-month and longer-dated instruments means banks can offer more predictable lending terms
- Policy-aligned sectors get priority — The structural tools and government-directed lending mean capital is flowing toward specific policy objectives, not distributed broadly
- Don’t expect dramatic rate cuts soon — The playbook is “stabilize and optimize,” not “aggressive easing”
- Spring Festival shouldn’t disrupt funding flows — This move ensures that even during the holiday, the financial system remains functional for key initiatives
For founders and investors, the practical takeaway is simple:
Capital availability depends heavily on whether your company aligns with policy priorities.
If you’re in a sector the government is actively supporting—fintech, green technology, manufacturing upgrades, semiconductor development—expect relatively steady access to credit.
If you’re in a sector that’s not on the radar, you might feel more pressure.
The PBOC’s approach in 2026 isn’t about flooding the system with money.
It’s about directing capital efficiently toward strategic objectives while maintaining financial stability.
Watch the maturity structure of PBOC operations, not just the headline numbers.
That’s where the real policy story lives—and it’s increasingly clear that Chinese monetary policy is moving toward precision rather than power.






